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Research & Evidence

Thematic Reports & Projects

As well as using our rich longitudinal tracking dataset for thematic research, we work on a number of collaborative projects across the sector.

Icon of a lightbulb with cog, representing the HEAT Thematic Reports and Projects.

Since widening participation students are not one homogenous group, HEAT classifies its members’ outreach participants into groups based on both their socioeconomic background and their prior attainment. This classification system allows us to compare similar students in terms of their likelihood of progressing to higher education. We use the HEAT Groups alongside other individual deprivation measures such as POLAR4 or the Indices of Multiple Deprivation. We have published a number of Reports using this methodology:

The HEAT Groups Thematic Paper

Using the HEAT Groups, this paper examines attainment and progression outcomes for HEAT’s student groups and identifies critical points in the educational pathways of certain groups. The report provides insight into when outreach interventions might be needed most. This paper has been updated with Universities and Colleges Admissions Service (UCAS) data to provide insight into application and acceptance in higher education (HE) for widening participation (WP) outreach participants. To read more, download the full report (last updated October 2019).

The HEAT Groups Thematic Paperarrow-right

The Predictive Power of the HEAT Groups (in partnership with the Behavioural Insights Team (BIT))

For this report, HEAT asked the Behavioural Insights Team to deconstruct the HEAT Groups methodology to ascertain how well the HEAT Groups predict progression to higher education. To read more, download the full report (last updated January 2020).

Predictive Power of the HEAT Groupsarrow-right

Upcoming Research

As part of the work on the Contextualised HE Entry Track, the HEAT Groups have recently been reviewed to ensure the methodology remains timely and evidence based for upcoming analyses. We look forward to using them in our member-level and aggregate analyses of the Contextualised HE Entry Track dataset.

The National Outreach Coverage Project was a collaborative research project that took place between June 2020 and July 2021, co-funded by the Office for Students, to examine the coverage of outreach delivery across England.

Learn more about this project by visiting the following webpage.

Learn more

    TASO HE and HEAT work closely to compliment each other’s work where possible. We collaborated to integrate TASO’s Mapping Outcomes and Activities Tool (MOAT) into our Theory of Change builder supporting members to select the most appropriate outcomes for their interventions, based on the available evidence.

    In the past, we have worked in collaboration to analyse HEAT’s aggregate longitudinal tracking dataset of outreach participants and investigate the relationship between outreach participation and success in key educational milestones. These milestones include Key Stage 4 (KS4) attainment, higher education (HE) access and access to a Top Third HE Provider. The report (last updated March 2021), published by TASO HE, is available here.

    Read the TASO summary reportarrow-right

    We continue to work closely with TASO ensuring a joined-up approach with sector guidance.

    This paper explains the approach taken by the HEAT Service when classifying packages of outreach as more or less intensive.

    We discuss two different methods which make use of fields available on the database and conclude by combining aspects from these to inform a method that will be used for the purpose of aggregate HEAT Track reporting. Download the full report (last updated August 2023) to learn more.

    Read the full paperarrow-right

    With the cost of living crisis feared to damage the life chances of disadvantaged young people, it is critical that activities aimed at narrowing the school attainment gap are targeted towards those learners who need them most.

    This paper adds to the debate around attainment raising outreach by, first, proposing that lower attaining learners are the most appropriate target recipients, before examining the extent to which these learners have engaged in the attainment raising outreach recorded on the HEAT database. Download the full report (last updated September 2022) to learn more.

    Read the full paperarrow-right

    This infographic shows regional differences in the Key Stage 4 performance of pupils who engaged in pre-16 outreach delivered by HEAT’s member organisations.

    Participants are allocated to a region based on the location of their school. The analysis shows the number of participants engaged in pre-16 outreach in each region alongside a profile of their prior attainment at Key Stage 2 (KS2). The report then looks at the absolute and relative KS4 performance of these participants in comparison with their school average. Download the report (last updated February 2020) to learn more.

    Read the full reportarrow-right

    HEAT commissioned the Behavioural Insights Team to interrogate the HEAT outreach data to try to ascertain whether taking part in an on-campus outreach activity increases propensity towards HE entry.

    Download the report (last updated January 2020) to learn more.

    Read the full reportarrow-right

    This infographic draws on HEAT’s tracking data to increase our understanding of why disadvantaged white males are underrepresented in higher education (HE).

    In this report, the educational outcomes of disadvantaged white males, from Key Stage 2 to Key Stage 5, are compared with outcomes for other disadvantaged groups. Download the summary report and infographic (last updated June 2017) to learn more.

    Read the reportarrow-right

    Read the infographicarrow-right

    With a focus on young people living in isolated rural and coastal areas, this thematic explores whether remoteness may be a barrier to participation in outreach. This report aims to improve our understanding of the influence of place on access to higher education.

    Download the paper (last updated February 2017) to learn more.

    Read the full paperarrow-right

    This report characterises our HEAT collective outreach cohort in terms of both socio-economic disadvantage and prior attainment at age 16.

    It details quasi-experimental research to provide evidence that universities are working with schools to raise attainment at KS4. It uses a quasi-experimental research design in response to the Office for Fair Access (now the Office for Students) Standards of Evaluation report and meets the highest level (Level 3) of evidence quality. Download the paper to learn more.

    Read the full paperarrow-right

    Want to learn more?

    Discover more  Research & Evidence

    Case studies

    Read more about the high quality evaluation work we do with our members using data supplied through the HEAT Track.

    HEAT Track Impact Reports

    Read our annual reports for members and the public, examining the impact of outreach on participants’ educational outcomes.