Uni Connect HEAT-HESA Track Impact Report

Introduction

On an annual basis, HEAT submits complete records for students who are expected to be ready to enter higher education (HE), and have given permission to be tracked, to the Higher Education Statistics Agency (HESA) for longitudinal tracking into the HE population. The latest HEAT-HESA Track dataset included students expected to enter HE in the 2021/22 academic year or earlier. This report presents the key findings from the latest HEAT-HESA Track dataset, in particular for 346,580 students who have taken part in outreach activities delivered by, and in partnership with, Uni Connect Partnerships.¹

This report provides a summary of:

1. The outreach engagement recorded by Uni Connect Partnerships using HEAT
2. The impact of Uni Connect on HE Progression

An overview of the coverage of Uni Connect and volume of delivery since its launch is shown, before drawing on a quasi-experimental matched cohort design of tracked Uni Connect outreach participants expected to enter HE in 2020/21 to explore progression to HE within two years, by 2021/22.

Footnotes are listed at the end of this page.

Methodology

For the quasi-experimental matched cohort design, we compare outcomes of a group of students who participated in an intensive package of outreach to a closely matched comparison group of students who participated in none to minimal outreach. An intensive package of outreach is defined as ‘11+ hours of any activity and eight or more hours of a high intensity activity content (Summer School, HE Subject Insight, Mentoring, Skills & Attainment, Campus Visit)’. To be classed as ‘a least intensive package of outreach’ (i.e., none to minimal outreach), a student has received a maximum of one activity with low intensity content (General HE Information or Exhibition) or less than three contact hours overall.²

Comparison groups were created using case control matching in SPSS based on a set of matching variables available in the HEAT-HESA Track dataset. Matching variables were selected based on:

• Research on factors impacting HE entry
• Student characteristics likely to be related to risks concerning equality of opportunity³
• Data availability⁴

It should be noted that the HEAT-HESA Track dataset is considered secondary data, i.e., this data has already been collected by the Uni Connect partnerships using HEAT and additional data collection is not feasible. Therefore, key variables affecting HE progression such as student motivation and prior attainment⁵ could only be included using proxies. Despite these limitations, the HEAT-HESA Track dataset provides the largest longitudinal tracking dataset of Uni Connect outreach participants available.

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Uni Connect Coverage

The majority of Uni Connect delivery is captured on HEAT with 25 out of 29 (over 86%) partnerships using HEAT as their chosen tracking service (Figure 1). We are therefore in a good position to examine delivery programme-wide.

Since its launch in late 2016/17, over 167,000 activities and over 1 million learners were recorded on HEAT in conjunction with Uni Connect activity.⁶ Since its first full delivery year, 2017/18, Uni Connect has accounted for nearly half of all outreach activities recorded on HEAT (Figure 2).

While Uni Connect activity delivery and student engagement saw an upward trend following the COVID-19 pandemic, the recent decrease in funding for Uni Connect is visible when looking at activities delivered and students engaged in the most recent academic year, 2022/23 (Figure 3).

Uni Connect impact on HE Progression

In this section, we explore the entry rates of Uni Connect participants who were expected⁷ to enter HE in 2020/21, and who did so by 2021/22. These learners will have had a maximum of three full years of engagement in Uni Connect activity (Table 1).⁸ Learners who took part in Uni Connect activity in earlier year groups are yet to be tracked into HE.

Table 1: Timeline of Participation in Uni Connect activity in expected HE progression

All Students engaged in Uni Connect outreach

First, we explore the HE Progression of all students engaged in Uni Connect activity, regardless of whether they live in an area targeted by the Uni Connect Programme.

Tracking school students engaged in an intensive package of Uni Connect outreach activities into HE shows that they were 14.1 percentage points more likely to enter HE than a closely matched comparison group of students who received little to no Uni Connect outreach (Figure 4). This gap, which was found to be statistically significant, suggests that participating in an intensive package of Uni Connect outreach while in school may have a positive impact on progression to HE within two years of being expected to enter.

Tracking FE students⁹ engaged in an intensive package of Uni Connect outreach activities into HE shows that they were 20.8 percentage points more likely to enter HE than a closely matched comparison group of FE students who received little to no Uni Connect outreach. The large gap between entry rates of FE students who participated in an intensive package of outreach to those who did not was found to be statistically significant and those in receipt of an intensive package of outreach in this subgroup were therefore more than twice as likely to enter HE than their counterparts in receipt of little to no outreach. This gap suggests that FE students may particularly benefit from participation in an intensive package of outreach.

Students in receipt of an intensive package of Uni Connect outreach from both types of institutions, schools and FE colleges, are more likely to progress to HE within two years than those in receipt of little to no Uni Connect outreach. This suggests that the Uni Connect Programme is contributing to reducing the gap in HE participation between the most and least represented groups by contributing to increased progression to HE of its outreach participants.

Students engaged in Uni Connect outreach who live in Uni Connect target areas

Secondly, we explore the impact of Uni Connect on the most disadvantaged students. These are learners who live in areas specifically targeted by the Uni Connect Programme due to their low HE progression rates.

Using the same closely matched comparison groups as above, the data shows that those school students in receipt of an intensive package of outreach, who live in a Uni Connect target area, were 13.3 percentage points more likely to enter HE than their peers in a closely matched comparison group living in Uni Connect target areas who received little to no Uni Connect outreach (Figure 5).

FE students who live in Uni Connect target areas and were in receipt of an intensive package of outreach were 21.1 percentage points more likely to enter than their peers in receipt of little to no Uni Connect outreach.

These findings suggest that outreach delivered by Uni Connect partnerships is effective in supporting those learners in the most disadvantaged areas, in line with the priorities of the Uni Connect programme, suggesting a contribution to increasing HE progression where it is needed the most.

Overall, it can be concluded that engagement in intensive Uni Connect activity has been beneficial to HE progression of both school and college learners and for both the overall cohort and for learners in target areas.

With learners who were in engaged in more than one year of Uni Connect activity pre-16 yet to be tracked into HE, we look forward to exploring the impact of even more sustained and progressive programmes, implemented over time, in future analyses.

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Copyright: Higher Education Statistics Agency Limited 2023. Neither the Higher Education Statistics Agency Limited nor HESA Services Limited can accept responsibility for any inferences or conclusions derived by third parties from data or other information supplied by the Higher Education Statistics Agency Limited or HESA Services Limited.